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Báo Quốc TếBáo Quốc Tế19/11/2024


This year's US presidential election witnessed many unexpected situations, which had a significant impact on the choice of American voters.
Bà Kamala Harris và “phó tướng” Tim Walz. (Nguồn: AFP)
Kamala Harris and Deputy Chief of Staff Tim Walz.

The 2024 race for the White House between a woman of color, an advantage in youth versus a seasoned contender but a significant age gap could be what makes this November's election both exciting and unpredictable.

It's coming up.

On August 5, Democratic National Committee Chairman Jaime Harrison formally announced Harris as the party's presidential nominee with 99 percent of the votes in favor among 4,567 Democratic delegates who took part.

Even before she was officially recognized, in the first two weeks of campaigning for the presidency, Harris had raised $310 million, surpassing Trump's $138. 7 million raise in July.

According to a late-July survey by ABC News, Harris's approval rating rose from 35% to 43% and her support among independents increased from 28% to 44% just one week after she officially entered the race.

On August 6, Harris announced the nomination of Tim Walz, 60, governor of Minnesota and chairman of the Democratic Governors Association, as her running mate. By selecting Walz, who is seen as a role model for what Democrats want to do nationally by promoting a series of progressive policies (including abortion access in state law, restoring voting rights to formerly incarcerated people, universal free school lunch. . ), she hopes to solidify her position in the Midwest, an important region in this year's presidential election.

Opportunity to open up

According to election observers, with recent developments suggesting that Trump's victory is now uncertain within the Republican Party because of waning media attention following the deficit surveillance and some embarrassment in finding a weakness for Harris to attack.

Trump's campaign called for him to focus on attacking Democratic opponents over illegal immigration, inflation and ineffective litigation when Harris was a prosecutor instead of the less persuasive criticism centered around her race and gender that Trump has used in recent years.

Despite the shortfall, Harris even leads Trump in younger voters (60%-40%) according to a Generation Lab poll. economicThat shows, each side has advantages that make it a headache for voters to choose their vote.

The unpredictable scenario

Polls show the race for the White House this year is raging. This is Reuters. It showed Harris leading Trump in four-sixths of the battleground states: Michigan, Arizona, Wisconsin and Nevada. The Economist On August 6th, Harris was overwhelmingly favored by 48% to 45% in the national popular vote. This is the first time a Democrat has led Republicans in polling since October 2023.

However, winning the popular vote nationwide is not enough to help a presidential candidate win outright as was the case with Hillary Clinton and Al Gore before her. To secure the necessary 270 electoral votes, Harris must prevail in battleground states such as Pennsylvania and Michigan, which have tended to favor Republicans in recent elections.

In 2020, although President Biden defeated former President Trump by 4. 5% of the nationwide popular vote, he won only a fragile 0. 6% margin in Wisconsin to capture 270 electoral votes and win the race for the White House.

On August 8, both Trump-Harris candidates confirmed their readiness for the live radio debate. This is ABC NewsIf enacted, it would be the first face-off between Trump and Harris as presidential candidates representing America's two largest parties.

Observers predict that the outcome of this debate is likely to have a significant impact on voter turnout, particularly amongst the neutral electorate, in November.


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See also https://baoquocte.vn/bau-cu-tong-thong-my-co-hoi-tam-chia-deu-281926.html

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