Scenario for tropical depression about to appear in the East Sea

Around June 23-24, a low pressure area may appear in the East Sea. This low pressure area is likely to strengthen into a tropical depression with a probability of about 65-75%, and is forecast to affect mainland Vietnam or China.

According to Mr. Nguyen Van Huong - Head of Weather Forecast Department, National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, currently, in the North and Central East Sea, a low pressure trough with a Northwest - Southeast axis is forming.

"According to the assessment of the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, around June 23-24, this low pressure trough is likely to form a low pressure area and strengthen into a tropical depression with a probability of 65-75%. The low pressure area, when strengthening into a tropical depression, is likely to have two directions of movement: moving into mainland China, or moving into the Gulf of Tonkin and potentially affecting mainland Vietnam," said Mr. Nguyen Van Huong.

According to Mr. Huong, with the current climate law, the tropical depression can move in two directions. In the first direction, the tropical depression is likely to move into mainland China. In the second direction, the tropical depression is likely to move into the Gulf of Tonkin and affect our mainland.

According to Mr. Huong, the appearance of a low pressure trough will change the weather in the North in the coming days.

Due to the strengthening of the southeast wind, the low pressure area in the west will weaken, so the heat wave in the North and North Central regions will gradually decrease. From June 22, the heat wave will gradually ease in the North, from June 23, the heat wave will end. In the Central region, from June 23, the severe heat wave of the past few days will decrease significantly.

In addition, due to the influence of the low pressure trough and the strengthening of the southwest monsoon, the area between the East Sea and the southern East Sea (including the waters of the Truong Sa archipelago), the waters from Quang Ngai to Ca Mau, Ca Mau to Kien Giang, and the Gulf of Thailand will have showers and thunderstorms in the coming days. During thunderstorms, there is a possibility of tornadoes and strong gusts of wind of level 7-8, be careful of wave heights sometimes increasing to over 2.5m.

In addition, currently (June 22), in the area between the East Sea and the South East Sea (including the waters of the Truong Sa archipelago), the sea area southeast of the North East Sea, the sea area from Binh Thuan to Ca Mau, Ca Mau to Kien Giang, and the Gulf of Thailand, there are showers and thunderstorms.

Forecast for the day and night of June 22, in the area between the East Sea and the South East Sea (including the waters of the Truong Sa archipelago), the sea area south of the North East Sea (including the waters of the Hoang Sa archipelago), the sea area from Binh Dinh to Ca Mau, Ca Mau to Kien Giang and the Gulf of Thailand, there will be showers and strong thunderstorms. During thunderstorms, there is a possibility of tornadoes and strong gusts of wind level 7-8, be careful of wave heights sometimes increasing to over 2.5m.

The sea area from Binh Thuan to Ca Mau and the South East Sea area (including the sea area of ​​Truong Sa archipelago) has strong southwest wind level 5, sometimes level 6, gusting to level 7-8; rough sea; waves from 1.5-3.0m high.

Impact Forecast: All vessels operating in the above areas are at high risk of being affected by tornadoes, strong winds and large waves.

From now until September, there is a possibility of about 5-7 storms/tropical depressions appearing.

The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting said that from now until September, there is a possibility of about 5-7 storms/tropical depressions appearing in the East Sea, of which about 2-3 will make landfall.

This year's storm season is also expected to be very complicated, requiring precautions against unusual, irregular storms as well as tropical storms/depressions that may form in the East Sea.

Previously, on the afternoon of May 30, the low pressure area over the Hoang Sa archipelago strengthened into a tropical depression. By the afternoon of May 31, the tropical depression had strengthened into a storm, the first storm in the East Sea in 2024, with the international name of storm MALIKSI.

To proactively respond, also on June 21, the National Steering Committee for Natural Disaster Prevention and Control issued an official dispatch requesting the command committees for natural disaster prevention and control and search and rescue in coastal provinces and cities from Quang Ninh to Kien Giang to closely monitor warning bulletins, forecasts and developments of strong winds, large waves at sea and low pressure areas that may form in the coming days.

Timely notify captains and owners of vehicles and vessels operating at sea to proactively prevent and have appropriate production plans, ensuring safety of people and property.

At the same time, prepare forces and means to deploy rescue work when there is a situation.